Two tax hikers go down

June 11, 2013

Ever since Plan ’13 From Outer Space was enacted, Virginians were told what a political winner the tax increase was.

As it turns out, it wasn’t so.

Up in the Commonwealth’s northern end, the 33rd and 29th District Republican voters sent tax-hiking incumbents packing, nominating Dave LaRock and Mark Berg, both have whom will keep their place in the hallowed right-hand column.

Two other tax-hikers – Speaker Bill Howell and Bobby Orrock – seem to have made it through. Still, the results up north will definitely have an impact. Congratulations to LaRock and Berg.


E.W. Jackson for Lieutenant Governor

May 23, 2013

As the Republican convention met last weekend, Susan Stimpson was my first choice for Lieutenant Governor, and the four tax-hikers in the field were, for me, unacceptable. While the convention did not choose Simpson, neither did they choose any of the tax-hiking four. The resultant selection, E.W. Jackson, was a good choice, and I endorse him for LG in the general election.

Jackson is known first as a social conservative, but the economic positions he adopted in this campaign are very encouraging. He opposed Plan ’13 From Outer Space, and he clearly understands the danger excessive government can bring to an economy.

I would also note that Jackson is African-American, and the first African-American the party has nominated for statewide office in 25 years. Of course, it will take more than nominating one African-American to win over that group of voters, but you have to start somewhere. Moreover, African-Americans in Virginia are not the monolith for the Democrats that they have been elsewhere. In the 1990s, Allen and Gilmore each won nearly 17% of the African-American vote (Allen even managed 15% in his 2006 race – “macaca” and all), while Governor Doug Wilder has shown that African-American and big-government-liberal are hardly synonymous.

In short, Jackson has good economic views, an understanding of the dangers of big government, and an opportunity to appeal to African-Americans in a way the GOP hasn’t had in many a year. These make him a good nominee, and I believe the first two will also make him a good Lieutenant Governor.


Ken Cuccinelli for Governor

May 21, 2013

As I tended to the hallowed right-hand column over the weekend, I discovered, to my surprise, that I hadn’t posted an endorsement of Ken Cuccinelli in this space. It turns out my endorsement was only posted on Virginia Virtucon. Whoops.

Of course, the VV endorsement was months old, and I was speaking for VV as a whole then. In the time since, Ken has gone a little wobbly on taxes, but he righted his ship with his recent tax reform plan. Due to the extremely low level of taxable income threshold for the highest bracket ($17,000), Ken’s plan to lower that bracket rate from 5.75% to 5% will be helpful to Virginians across all income levels.

My original candidate for Attorney General (Mark Obenshain) won the nomination, so that clearly stands. I’ll have a post on the LG race later this week.


Has the GOP become the Tax-The-Poor Party?

May 10, 2013

In the late 1850s, a Northern performer began playing what he thought was a humorous and biting tune about the South. In less than a decade, to his shock and horror, Dixie became the unofficial anthem (and label) of the South itself. I’m wondering if Rush Limbaugh feels the same way about his 1991 April Fool’s Day rant in favor of taxing the poor…because the Republican Party appears to have made Tax-The-Poor its one consistent economic policy – to its and the nation’s peril.

Contrary to what it might seem, this realization did not hit me with John Cosgrove’s victory last night (although perhaps the inspiration to post did). Cosgrove defeated Stearns (my preferred candidate) for many reasons, some of which Brian Kirwin describes in detail here. That said, the nature of that race – namely that Stearns himself needed to run to ensure an anti-tax-hike candidate was even an available choice – is yet another symptom of the larger disease that is damaging the party: to wit, a desire to avoid reducing the size and scope of government by making poor Americans and Virginians cover its cost.

Moreover, this should not be seen as an indictment of one wing of the party, or a salvo in intra-Republican arguments. The entire party – economic and social conservatives, moderates and “RINOs”, and anyone else I may have missed – are culpable in this, including yours truly.

Admittedly, those who have supported the various GOP-backed tax increases in Virginia seem to be the worst offenders – emphasis on “seem”, because even those of us who are not in that group have shown a refusal to acknowledge the problem, let alone address it.

Think back to last year, when all of the arguments regarding the expiring tax cuts focused on the income tax rates. Obama wanted higher ones; the Republicans didn’t. Everyone quickly assumed their usual positions (such as they were) on taxes.

Yet when Obama asked to extend the payroll tax reduction and Republicans demanded he drop it, hardly anyone in the GOP uttered a word in protest: not the economic conservatives, not the social conservatives, not the moderates, not the “RINOs”, not the squishes.

Why were we all so comfortable letting a tax cut for the poor expire?

Closing in on Virginia, just about every tax increase proposed by Republicans or enacted with Republican support involved taxing the poor, and not lightly (even the 2004 income tax hike in Virginia, whose highest rate begins at $17,000 a year, hit poor Virginians, and the higher sales tax that year certainly did). How have tax-hiking Republicans tried to fund their transportation “fixes” in the past? Higher gas taxes or higher sales taxes. How did they “fix” it this year? Higher and broader sales taxes. Who feels the effect of these regressive taxes the most? The poor.

As for those of us on the opposing side of these tax increases, how have we made our arguments? To be fair, I can’t speak for all, but I can speak for myself, and I have focused largely on the dynamic portions of the economy, and how they are slammed. I have focused on how the regional tax increases were tax-the-rich in disguised. I ripped the lack of budget discipline. I talked about misguided road priorities and dysfunctional systems.

And my posts railing about the effect of the tax hikes on the poor? Don’t bother looking, even I know they’re not there.

We are rapidly approaching a new and dangerous consensus on the size and growth of government: i.e., big is back. The only arguments we seem to be having is whether the rich should foot the bill (as the Democrats contend) or the poor should (as Republicans increasingly contend). However, turning the Republicans into the tax-the-poor party has horrific consequences.

Firstly, as I’ve hinted above, it politically institutionalizes big government. The distance between America and Europe can really be described in one policy: the Value Added Tax. Without it, the half-social-democracy-half-corporatist-democracy we have built is unsustainable within a decade. With it, the thing can wheeze forward for a generation or more – long enough for our children and grandchildren to assume that this era was the economic equivalent of the Wild West.

Moreover, it marginalizes poor Americans politically. Was there any discussion of the poor in the 2012 presidential campaign? Has there been any in the current races this year? Are we really that convinced, as Republicans, that we have nothing to offer the poor but higher tax bills? The poor have to deal with big government as much as we do – in many cases, more so. They know as well as anyone how inefficient, demoralizing, and draining of human capital it really is.

Finally, it puts us at immediate electoral disadvantage. If the Democrats talk about higher taxes for the richest 5%, while Republicans talk about taxes for the poorest 25%, we’re 20 points behind from the get-go. Not smart.

The Republican Party has much to digest from the last year, and we need to ask, as a party, what we wish to be. There can be several answers, good and bad. I humbly submit a tax-the-poor platform is just about the worst of the lot.

Cross-posted to Bearing Drift


Sanford wins special election to Congress

May 8, 2013

I am surprised at how the blogosphere seems to have missed the pertinent lesson of Mark Sanford’s return to Congress last night.

Yes, it’s a highly Republican district (SC-1). Yes, Sanford has had some personal issues. Yes, he ran about 8 points behind Tim Scott (although, this being a special election, weird things can happen).

What seems to have slipped past…well, everyone…is that Sanford also had a political record, one of the strongest in the country on spending and taxation. With his election, he is now the first member of Congress to to sign the Reject the Debt pledge from the Coalition to Reduce Spending, a great leap forward for accountability on the spending side of the budget.

Last night was a great day for limited government, and a sign that economic matters are once again firmly at the forefront of the political discussion today.

Take note, folks.

Cross-posted to Virginia Virtucon


Corey Stewart flies his campaign into a mountain

May 2, 2013

Five years ago, when Bill Bolling announced he was running for re-election instead of taking a shot at the Governor’s chair, every candidate for LG backed out with 24 hours, except one: Corey Stewart. For a brief moment, Corey could have taken the anti-tax-hike, anti-3202 mantle and spoke for the angry Republican activists who were even then bringing Bob Marshall to within a whisker of the Senate nomination and about to sweep Jeff Frederick into the RPV Chair. Instead, Corey decided to wait, and became the last LG candidate for 2009 to back out.

Now, five years later, just as Barkley plummeted from a sure-fire first round pick in 2012 to a fourth-rounder in 2013, Corey Stewart is finding that his decision to wait to run for LG set off a chain of decisions that could ruin his career.

Last night, Jim Riley presented the case that Stewart was behind a slew of semi-anonymous criticisms of Scott Lingamfelter’s record, and completely anonymous smacks on Pete Snyder’s private life. As Greg L of BVBL notes, the latter is not just bizarre, but also illegal. To top it all off, yet another anonymous source magically appeared to try dumping it all on Susan Stimpson (Shaun Kenney, who saw through that like it was Saran Wrap). It’s getting so bad that Mike over at Write Side has decided to skip Richmond’s convention entirely.

Still, even as one tries to avert the eyes from a campaign flying itself into a mountain, there is a black box to recover, and things to analyze in the wreckage. What I find interesting is the different nature of the missives. The stuff used against Lingamfelter was fairly accurate – based on actual votes and donation records – and had an “organization” behind it. In other words, the i’s were dotted and t’s crossed.

The hits on Snyder, by contrast, were sloppy and amateurish (Jim has the details), besides being illegal. This reeks of desperation (as does the bizarre hit on Susan), and a sign that a campaign knows it is in deep, deep trouble.

So what can we take away from all of this? A few things, I think.

  1. Stewart: the new mountain man
  2. Snyder: Clearly on the up, or this wouldn’t have happened to him
  3. Stimpson: Also on the up, or this wouldn’t have happened to her
  4. Lingamfelter: although what hit him was accurate, victimhood by association will likely give him a boost
  5. JMDD: may be a surprise benefactor of the Stewart crash. Locally, Stewart had some establishment cred, some of those who backed him because of it may go to her
  6. Jackson: No impact, although he can likely use it as part of his fresh-face, outsider campaign
  7. Martin: Um……

That’s how I see it, FWIW. Convention day is two weeks from Saturday.


Chris Stearns for State Senate

April 27, 2013

The May 7 “firehouse primary” for the 14th State Senate District is a tough one for me. I have friends who are backing Delegate John Cosgrove, friends I like and trust.

However, Cosgrove voted – every chance he got – for the massive tax hike known as Plan ’13 From Outer Space. Stearns, by contrast, opposed it steadfastly.

That makes Stearns the superior choice, and gives him the place in the hallowed right-hand column.


House passes amended Plan ’13 From Outer Space (UPDATED: Senate does too)

April 3, 2013

The House of Delegates approved McDonnell’s changes to HB 2313 (a.k.a. Plan ’13 From Outer Space), by a 64-35 vote. The roll is not up yet, but taxes will go up, including automatically for regions in the future that hit certain population and traffic levels.

I am deeply disappointed. This bill (and I assume the State Senate will grease the skids for this debacle UPDATE: which the State Senate has also passed with the Governor’s changes) will damage the state’s economy, political transparency, and accountability…while doing nothing about its over-centralized and dysfunctional transportation system.

It’s a sad day for Virginia.


Mark Sanford for Congress

April 2, 2013

The hallowed right-hand column has one more addition tonight: Mark Sanford, the once and hopefully future Congressman from South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District.

Sanford won the Republican nomination tonight, but much more importantly, he is (I think) the first nominee for federal office to sign the Reject the Debt pledge from the Coalition to Reduce Spending.

The pledge commits Sanford to the following:

I pledge to the citizens of my state and to the American people that, except when related to a congressional authorization of force, I will:

ONEconsider all spending open for reduction and vote only for budgets that present a path to balance; and

TWOvote against any appropriations bill that increases total spending and against the authorization or funding of new programs without offsetting cuts in other programs.

Some may be leery about the “authorization of force” exception (or maybe I’m just assuming that because I can see potential for chicanery in it), but it is the first effort to create a spending counterpart to the Norquist Tax Pledge (which Sanford has also taken).

Much of the focus on Sanford will be driven by the collapse of his marriage, but Sanford’s record shows he has been serious about limiting government’s scope and reducing its size and cost. South Carolina (and the rest of the country) would greatly benefit from his return to Congress.


New additions to the hallowed right-hand column

March 28, 2013

It’s springtime in Virginia, which usually means nomination battles…and we have plenty this year, meaning the list of endorsees (a.k.a., “the hallowed right-hand column”) is getting crowded.

The LG and AG endorsements are not actually new; it just took a while for me to get the web badge up (note to Mr. Obenshain, you need a web badge). The delegate candidates below Obenshain (Berg, Curtis, and LaRock) are all challenging Republican incumbents who all swooned over the McDonnell tax-hike fiasco (a.k.a. Plan ’13 From Outer Space). Finally, Patrick Mara is the Republican candidate for D.C.’s At-Large City Council seat (the special election is next month).

Please note that there is always room for more endorsees….


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