The more one looks at the Survey USA bombshell poll, the worse things look for the Democrats.
Here are the big numbers:
Governor: McDonnell 59, Deeds 40
Lieutenant Governor: Bolling 56, Wagner 42
Attorney General: Cuccinelli 56, Shannon 41
Now for the real painful info (for the Dems): since the last Survey USA poll (two weeks ago), the electorate has become less Republican (+1 from +5), more Obama-friendly (McCain +1 from +8), poorer, darker (75% white from 78%, 16% A-A from 15%), and flipped from pro-life to pro-choice.
Yet all three Republican candidates improved on their previous performance.
In other words, for every Democrat Deeds is rousing to get to the polls, he and his ticketmates are losing two independents (McDonnell’s margin among independents is 44 points).
Meanwhile, Public Policy Polling (the North Carolinians with a heavily Dem client base) is previewing its poll for tomorrow:
We’re looking at a McCain +6 electorate this year in a state that was Obama +6 last year. There’s no path to victory if that stays true through election day. We’ll see how much good the visits from Obama, Bill Clinton, and other leading national Democrats do in the last few weeks but there is a lot of ground to make up (emphasis added).
Not sure if PPP will have a gap this wide, but it’s pretty clear Deeds’ “closing in” days have been closed out.