For the Republicans: McCain, and by quite a bit, too. McCain will also win the Washington primary, although I’m guessing it will be closer than the Wisconsin result.
For the Democrats: Conventional wisdom says it’s Obama’s to lose. That maybe, but Wisconsin is a lot like the New England states where Obama looked to have all the momentum and the support of local Democratic officialdom, and still lost. Polling actually puts Clinton within the margin of error (Rasmussen), meaning she has the lead among the constituents most likely to vote (contrary to conventional wisdom, there has been no surge in young voters in these primaries; although Obama does very well in that group, it is no larger a portion of the primary electorate today than four years ago).
So, I’m going to go out on a limb (again) and pick an upset win for Clinton in Wisconsin, while Obama wins Hawaii (the Dems won’t award any delegates from their primary in Washington, so no one really cares about that one).
For the 99th District in VA: I can’t see how Pollard loses, unless he came out in favor of the gas tax-hike over the weekend. I do think Republican Lee Anne Washington will do better than expected, but she just couldn’t get enough voters to notice her. Truth be told, that’s in no small part on all of us in the rightosphere, who largely ignored this race (save the noble Riley at VV).
